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Page 1 1 Overview 1 Disclosure 1 Page 2 3 Executive summary 3 Page 3 4 Executive summary (CONT) 4 Graphics Title: Exhibit 1: The potential for a low growth-low inflation loop 4 Page 4 5 The case for active fiscal policy 5 Page 5 6 The case for active fiscal policy (CONT) 6 Graphics Title: Exhibit 2: Demographics in developed markets are weakening 6 Graphics Title: Exhibit 3: Disinflationary pressures have intensified since 2008 6 Graphics Title: Exhibit 4: Labour productivity in developed markets has been decelerating 6 Graphics Title: Exhibit 5: Estimates of G4 natural interest rates have been declining 6 Page 6 7 Graphics Title: Exhibit 6: The potential for a low growth-low inflation loop 7 The case for active fiscal policy (CONT) 7 Graphics Title: Exhibit 7: Core inflation has hardly crossed 2%Y in a persistent manner since the late 1980s 7 Graphics Title: Exhibit 8: Private saving has increasingly exceeded investment 7 Page 7 8 Graphics Title: Exhibit 9: DM* interest rates have been declining since the 1980s 8 Graphics Title: Exhibit 10: Estimates of natural interest rates in G4 have been declining 8 The case for active fiscal policy (CONT) 8 Page 8 9 Graphics Title: Exhibit 11

Author

pdfg

Language

EN