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Can I read Learning to Become Rational: The Case of Self-Referential Autoregressive and Non-Stationary Models (Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, 439) on EtoBox?

Learning to Become Rational: The Case of Self-Referential Autoregressive and Non-Stationary Models (Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, 439) by Dr. Markus Zenner (auth.) is a nonfiction available to read on EtoBox.

What is Learning to Become Rational: The Case of Self-Referential Autoregressive and Non-Stationary Models (Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, 439) about?

1. 1 Rational Expectations and Learning to Become Rational A characteristic feature of dynamic economic models is that, if future states of the economy are uncertain, the expectations of agents mat ter. Producers have to decide today which amount of a good they will produce not knowing what demand will be tomorrow. Consumers have to decide what they spend for consumption today not knowing what prices will prevail tomorrow. Adopting the neo-classical point of view that economic agents are 'rational' in the sense that they behave in their own best interest given their expectations about future states of the ecomomy it is usually assumed that agents are Bayesian deci sion makers. But, as LUCAS points out, there remains an element of indeterminacy: Unfortunately, the general hypothesis that economic agents are Bayesian decision makers has, in many applications, lit tle empirical content: without some way of infering what an agent's subjective view of the future is, this hypothesis is of no help in understanding his behavior. Even psychotic behavior can be (and today, is) understood as "rational", given a sufficiently abnormal view of relevant probabili ties. To practice economics, we n

Who reads Learning to Become Rational: The Case of Self-Referential Autoregressive and Non-Stationary Models (Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, 439)?

It is typically read by self-directed learners exploring a subject in depth.

Common subject areas: history, science, philosophy, social sciences.

Author
Dr. Markus Zenner (auth.)
Publisher
Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
Published
1996
Language
EN
ISBN
9783540612797
Category
nonfiction
Subjects
Business, Economics

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