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Travel Cadence and Epidemic Spread by Streitmatter, Lauren; Zhang, Peter is a scholarly article available to read on EtoBox.

What is Travel Cadence and Epidemic Spread about?

In this paper, we study how interactions between populations impact epidemic spread. We extend the classical SEIR model to include both integration-based disease transmission simulation and population flow. Our model differs from existing ones by having a more detailed representation of travel patterns, without losing tractability. This allows us to study the epidemic consequence of inter-regional travel with high fidelity. In particular, we define \emph{travel cadence} as a two-dimensional measure of inter-regional travel, and show that both dimensions modulate epidemic spread. This technical insight leads to policy recommendations, pointing to a family of simple policy trajectories that can effectively curb epidemic spread while maintaining a basic level of mobility.

Author

Streitmatter, Lauren; Zhang, Peter

Published

2021

Language

EN