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COVID-19 underreporting and its impact on vaccination strategies by Albani, Vinicius (author);Loria, Jennifer (author);Massad, Eduardo (author);Zubelli, Jorge (author) is a Medicine article available to read on EtoBox.
What is COVID-19 underreporting and its impact on vaccination strategies about?
## Abstract ## Background Underreporting cases of infectious diseases poses a major challenge in the analysis of their epidemiological characteristics and dynamical aspects. Without accurate numerical estimates it is difficult to precisely quantify the proportions of severe and critical cases, as well as the mortality rate. Such estimates can be provided for instance by testing the presence of the virus. However, during an ongoing epidemic, such tests’ implementation is a daunting task. This work addresses this issue by presenting a methodology to estimate underreported infections based on approximations of the stable rates of hospitalization and death. ## Methods We present a novel methodology for the stable rate estimation of hospitalization and death related to the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) using publicly available reports from various distinct communities. These rates are then used to estimate underreported infections on the corresponding areas by making use of reported daily hospitalizations and deaths. The impact of underreporting infections on vaccination strategies is estimated under different disease-transmission scenarios using a Susceptible-Exposed-Infective-R
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- Author
- Albani, Vinicius (author);Loria, Jennifer (author);Massad, Eduardo (author);Zubelli, Jorge (author)
- Publisher
- Springer Science and Business Media LLC
- Published
- 2021
- Language
- EN
- Field
- Medicine (Health Sciences)