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Projected land-use changes in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: Insights and implications by Estoque, Ronald C.; Ooba, Makoto; Togawa, Takuya; Hijioka, Yasuaki is a Environmental Science article available to read on EtoBox.

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The conceptualization of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) framework represented a major leap in scenario development in the context of global environmental change and sustainability, providing significant advances from the previous scenario frameworks-especially the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. It is highly likely that the SSP concept, along with its scenario narratives and their respective results, including land-use change projections, will play a substantial role in the forthcoming Sixth Assessment Report by the IPCC. Here, we offer some insights that could make the SSPs' projected future changes in global land use more comprehensive and also help improve the interpretability of such projections. For example, instead of focusing on the quantity of each land-use class at various time points which results only in a net change when change is detected between time points, we recommend that the projected gross gains and gross losses in each land-use class across all scenarios should also be considered. Overall, the insights presented could also help pave the way for stronger collaboration between the SSP-climate scien

Who reads Projected land-use changes in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: Insights and implications?

Author

Estoque, Ronald C.; Ooba, Makoto; Togawa, Takuya; Hijioka, Yasuaki

Publisher

Bioone; Springer-Verlag; Springer Netherlands; Springer Science and Business Media LLC; Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences; American Bryological and Lichenological Society (ISSN 0044-7447)

Published

2020

Language

EN

Field

Environmental Science (Physical Sciences)