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Superforecasting : The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner, Santiago Foz (argentino) is a science book available to read on EtoBox.

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NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts'predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of

Who reads Superforecasting : The Art and Science of Prediction?

Author

Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner, Santiago Foz (argentino)

Publisher

Crown; Crown Publishers

Published

2015

Language

EN

ISBN

9781847947147

Category

science

Subjects

Psychology, Sociology, Management

Rating

4.13 / 5 (4,876 ratings)

Updated

2026-03-13