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Forecasting telecommuting: An exploration of methodologies and research needs by Susan L. Handy; Patricia L. Mokhtarian is a Social Sciences article available to read on EtoBox.

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Transportation planners increasingly recognize telecommuting as an important trend. But while they often advocate te!ecommuting as a transportation demand management strategy, transportation planners have made little progress toward incorporating telecommuting into transportation forecasts, at least partly because of the limited data available. In this paper we explore four alternative methodologies for forecasting telecommuting and discuss the kinds of data that must be collected before these methodologies can be applied. The first approach is trend extrapolation, using curves of technological substitution. Sufficient data are currently available to produce forecasts, albeit highly uncertain forecasts, using this approach. However, even with better data this approach does not address underlying factors and trends that will affect the future of telecommuting. As a result, we explore three additional approaches that should produce more reliable forecasts but which require new data and knowledge about telecommuting: analyzing the characteristics of telecommuters in contrast to nontelecommuters, analyzing factors affecting the individual choice to telecommute, and incorporating teleco

Who reads Forecasting telecommuting: An exploration of methodologies and research needs?

Author

Susan L. Handy; Patricia L. Mokhtarian

Publisher

Springer US; Springer-Verlag; Kluwer Academic Publishers; Springer Science and Business Media LLC; Society for Mining, Metallurgy and Exploration Inc. (ISSN 0049-4488)

Published

1996

Language

EN

Field

Social Sciences