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Future changes in climate indices relevant to agriculture in the Aegean islands (Greece) by Gianna Kitsara; Tim van der Schriek; Konstantinos V. Varotsos; Christos Giannakopoulos is a Environmental Science article available to read on EtoBox.

What is Future changes in climate indices relevant to agriculture in the Aegean islands (Greece) about?

The Aegean islands, characterized by strong relief and low vegetation cover, are listed as a region of high desertification risk. Impacts of climate change are expected to affect significantly agricultural production and the local economy. In this paper, projections derived from seven regional climate models (RCMs) are used to examine future climate changes in the Aegean area to identify areas most vulnerable to climate change and to prioritize future interventions in the agricultural sector. Changes in climate indices, derived from the mean ensemble of the seven RCMs, are examined under the medium mitigation (RCP4.5) and the high emission scenario (RCP8.5) for the control , near (2031-2060) and distant (2071-2100) future periods. Ensemble results are calibrated against the long-term historical meteorological record of Naxos Island in the central Cyclades. Annual averaged maximum and minimum temperatures show increases of about 1.5 °C (RCP4.5) or 2.1 °C (RCP8.5) in the near future and almost 2.2 °C (RCP4.5) or 4.5 °C (RCP8.5) in the distant future across the Aegean. Hot days and very hot days (days with T max > 30 °C and T max > 35 °C, respectively) which negatively affect plant gr

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Author

Gianna Kitsara; Tim van der Schriek; Konstantinos V. Varotsos; Christos Giannakopoulos

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Published

2021

Language

EN

Field

Environmental Science (Physical Sciences)