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Effects of climate change on the distribution of Fusarium spp. in Italy by Alessandro Infantino; Andreina Belocchi; Fabrizio Quaranta; Massimo Reverberi; Marzia Beccaccioli; Danilo Lombardi; Marcello Vitale is a Environmental Science article available to read on EtoBox.

What is Effects of climate change on the distribution of Fusarium spp. in Italy about?

This work studies the incidence of Fusarium spp. on wheat kernels about current and future climatic conditions in Italy. Epidemiological analyses were performed from 2007 to 2013 and the resulting dataset was used to find correlations between the disease incidence of five important Fusarium species monitored in Italy (Fusarium graminearum, F. langsethiae, F. sporotrichioides, F. poae and F. avenaceum) and climatic and geographical parameters. Probabilistic-based modelling of the actual distribution of Fusarium spp. was achieved by using the Zero-inflated Poisson regression. The probabilistic geographical distribution of the Fusarium species was assessed by applying future climatic scenarios (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5). The shift from current to future climatic scenarios highlighted changes on a national and regional scale. The tightening of environmental conditions from the RCP4.5 to 8.5 scenarios resulted in a sporadic presence of F. avenaceum only in the northern region of Italy. Fusarium graminearum was plentifully present in the current climate, but the tightening of minimum and maximum temperatures and the decrease of precipitation between May–June in the RCP8.5 no longer represents th

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Author

Alessandro Infantino; Andreina Belocchi; Fabrizio Quaranta; Massimo Reverberi; Marzia Beccaccioli; Danilo Lombardi; Marcello Vitale

Publisher

Elsevier BV

Published

2023

Language

EN

Field

Environmental Science (Physical Sciences)