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there are conflicting views regarding CVD as a major public health problem for the urban poor, including those living in slums. We examined multivariable risk prediction in a slum population and assessed the number of cardiovascular related deaths within 10 years of application of the tool. Methods We analysed data from a cross sectional survey conducted in the Nairobi Urban Health Demographic Surveillance population (residents of two slum communities) between May 2008 and April 2009. We used the World Health Organisation/International Society of Hypertension (WHO/ISH) cardiovascular risk prediction tool to examine 10-year risk of major CVD events in a slum population. 3063 men and women aged over 40 years with complete data for variables needed for the WHO/ISH risk prediction tool were eligible for inclusion in our analysis. CVD deaths in the cohort, reported up until June 2018 in regular demographic data collection rounds, with the cause identified through verbal autopsy are also presented. Non-fatal CVD events were not captured. ## Results The majority of study members (2895, 94.5%) were predicted to have 'low' risk ( 20% were identified as dying of CVD. Discussion To the best o

Author

Wright, FL; Greenland, M; Goldacre, R; Lopez, D; Goldacre, M; Hobbs, M; Knuiman, M; Sanfilippo, FM; Nedkoff, L

Publisher

BMJ Publishing Group Ltd

Published

2019

Language

EN