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This paper presents a new physically based model for predicting peak flood discharge from dam failures. It begins by reviewing existing statistical models that relate peak discharge to water volume or water level drop, but notes these have limited predictive power because they do not account for breach formation rate. The paper then introduces a dimensionless parameter that depends on breach erosion rate and uses a simple physically based model to show peak discharge depends primarily on this parameter. The

Author

Raimundo Antonio Ojeda Aliaga

Language

EN