Can I read Incorporating Seasonal Time Series Analysis with Search Behavior Information in Sales Forecasting on EtoBox?

Incorporating Seasonal Time Series Analysis with Search Behavior Information in Sales Forecasting by Yuchen Tian; Yiqun Liu; Danqing Xu; Ting Yao; Min Zhang; Shaoping Ma is a scholarly article available to read on EtoBox.

What is Incorporating Seasonal Time Series Analysis with Search Behavior Information in Sales Forecasting about?

We consider the problem of predicting monthly auto sales in mainland China. First, we design an algorithm using click-through and query reformulation information to cluster related queries and count their frequencies on monthlybasis. By introducing Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages (EWMA) model, we measure the seasonal impact on the sales trend. Two features are combined using linear regression. The experiment shows that our model is effective with high accuracy and outperforms conventional forecasting models. 1

Author

Yuchen Tian; Yiqun Liu; Danqing Xu; Ting Yao; Min Zhang; Shaoping Ma

Publisher

ACM

Published

2012

Language

EN