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The Economic and Environmental Analysis of Solar Energy Development Under Climate Impacts by Liguo Zhang; Qin Zhang; Muhammad Aftab Rafiq is a Engineering article available to read on EtoBox.

What is The Economic and Environmental Analysis of Solar Energy Development Under Climate Impacts about?

Solar energy is a promising renewable technology to secure energy security and reduce emissions. While there are several solar energy studies, the intensified climate change has altered the climate pattern such as regional sunny hours and the strength of solar radiation. To investigate the impact of climate change on the regional solar energy potential, this study analyses the average sunny hour and solar radiation from monthly data from Jan. 2009 to Apr. 2021 and applies the ARIMA and ARDL models to predict the potential changes of these factors for the period of May 2021 to Dec. 2025. The results show the impact of climate change on solar energy generation potential is geographically different. Based on the historical data, the estimated electricity generation potential from conventional PV, PV/PCM, and PVT/PCM technologies are 2,636, 2,747, and 2868 kWh per m^2^, respectively. However, under climate impacts, their power potential will be greatly reduced to 2,422, 2,525, and 2636 kWh per m^2^. Specifically, the future power potential will decline up to 8%, and thus the policymakers should incorporate the climate influence on solar energy development and application to minimize po

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Author

Liguo Zhang; Qin Zhang; Muhammad Aftab Rafiq

Published

2022

Language

EN

Field

Engineering (Physical Sciences)