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Page 1 1 Demand for consumer credit softens from a high base in 2018 1 Consumption intention remains Recommendation —but weakened for certain groups 1 Younger borrowers a rising driver for consumer credit 1 Consumer outperformance likely restrained in 2020; prefer mass-market names 1 Disclosure 1 Page 2 3 Table Title: Contents 3 Page 3 4 PIVOTAL QUESTIONS 4 Q: How is the outlook for consumption and consumer credit in 2020? 4 UBS VIEW 4 EVIDENCE 4 WHAT'S PRICED IN? 4 Graphics Title: Net % of respondents who plan to increase consumption in next 12 months 4 Page 4 5 OUR THESIS IN PICTURES 5 Graphics Title: Figure 1: On a net basis, consumption intentions improved from the previous survey... 5 Graphics Title: Figure 2: ...but softened among mortgage borrowers and low-income respondents 5 Graphics Title: Figure 3: Over half of respondents had borrowed more frequently in the past year 5 Graphics Title: Figure 4: Demand for consumer credit softened from an exceptionally Recommendation base in 2018 5 Graphics Title: Figure 5: Internet financing penetration is higher among younger borrowers... 5 Graphics Title: Figure 6: ...who also showed greater demand for consumer credit 5 Page 5 6 Key f

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