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<p><p><i>The War Ledger</i> provides fresh, sophisticated answers to fundamental questions about major modern wars&#58; Why do major wars begin? What accounts for victory or defeat in war? How do victory and defeat influence the recovery of the combatants? Are the rules governing conflict behavior between nations the same since the advent of the nuclear era? <p>The authors find such well-known theories as the balance of power and collective security systems inadequate to explain how conflict erupts in the international system. Their rigorous empirical analysis proves that the power-transition theory, hinging on economic, social, and political growth, is more accurate; it is the differential rate of growth of the two most powerful nations in the system&#8212;the dominant nation and the challenger&#8212;that destabilizes all members and precipitates world wars. <p>Predictions of who will win or lose a war, the authors find, depend not only on the power potential of a nation but on the capability of its political systems to mobilize its resources&#8212;the "political capacity indicator." After examining the aftermath of major conflicts, the authors identify national growth as the dete

Author

A.F.K.ORGANSKI,JACEK KUGLER AND J.TIMOTHY JOHNSON

Publisher

THE UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO PRESS

Published

1980

Language

EN

ISBN

9780226351841

Subjects

Political Science, Sociology, Military