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This document summarizes a research study that examined the quality of scenarios generated using the cone of plausibility technique. The study had participants generate scenarios about potential developments in Turkey following a ban on Syrian refugees. Scenarios were rated on criteria like completeness, plausibility, and coherence. Results showed scenarios scored higher on coherence than other criteria. Scenario quality was independent of scenario type (baseline, best, worst case). However, scenarios gener

Author

Magoge Ngoasheng

Language

EN