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Assessing the climate change impacts and adaptation strategies for rice production in Punjab, Pakistan by Shabbir, Ghulam; Khaliq, Tasneem; Ahmad, Ashfaq; Saqib, Muhammad is a Environmental Science article available to read on EtoBox.

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Climate change is a serious threat to agriculture and food security. The development of adaptation measures is one of the key strategies to offset the climate change impacts on rice crop. A study was planned to develop adaptation strategies for future rice crop through simulation model. This study was consisted of six transplanting dates and three seedling densities which were tested to develop adaptations at three locations, i.e., Faisalabad, Hafizabad, and Gujranwala during the years 2015 and 2016. Climate change scenarios were developed for selected locations through statistical downscaling by selecting five general circulation models under representative concentration pathways (RCPs 8.5) for mid-century (2039-2069). The APSIM-ORYZA model was calibrated well with experimental data which showed an error of 2.35% between observed and simulated grain yield. The impact of climate change was studied by calculating the difference of baseline (1980-2010) and future yield. Model simulated results indicated that the rise in temperature will reduce the rice yield by 7.3%. To overcome this decrease in rice yield, suitable adaptation strategies were tested for mid-century. The developed ada

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Author

Shabbir, Ghulam; Khaliq, Tasneem; Ahmad, Ashfaq; Saqib, Muhammad

Publisher

Springer-Verlag; Springer Verlag; Springer Science and Business Media LLC; Publons; Society for Mining, Metallurgy and Exploration Inc. (ISSN 0944-1344)

Published

2020

Language

EN

Field

Environmental Science (Physical Sciences)