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Application of a Bayesian network modelling approach to predict the cascading effects of COVID-19 restrictions on the planting activities of smallholder farmers in Uganda by Henry Musoke Semakula; Song Liang; Paul Isolo Mukwaya; Frank Mugagga is a Agricultural and Biological Sciences article available to read on EtoBox.
What is Application of a Bayesian network modelling approach to predict the cascading effects of COVID-19 restrictions on the planting activities of smallholder farmers in Uganda about?
CONTEXT There are rising concerns over the cascading effects induced by COVID-19 restrictions on the planting activities of smallholder farmers in low and middle-income countries, which may become a non-negligible threat to the long-term food security. Studies that utilize probability based models to examine the effects of COVID-19 restrictions on planting activities of smallholder farmers are scare, with no available evidence on Uganda. Yet these effects do not act in isolation, and are known to be complex, stochastic, nonlinear, and multidimensional. OBJECTIVE To develop a Bayesian network (BN) model based on expert knowledge, existing literature, and Uganda's High Frequency Phone Survey (HFPS) datasets on COVID-19 to bridge this gap. METHODS A comprehensive survey of relevant literature on the effects of COVID-19 restrictions on the planting activities of smallholder farmers was conducted based on well established guidelines. Resultantly, 23 relevant publications were obtained, and reviewed. A total of 12 variables deemed relevant to smallholder famers in Uganda were extracted, and organized into an influence diagram. The influence diagram was used to develop the BN model. A tot
Who reads Application of a Bayesian network modelling approach to predict the cascading effects of COVID-19 restrictions on the planting activities of smallholder farmers in Uganda?
It is typically read by researchers, students, and practitioners in Agricultural and Biological Sciences.
- Author
- Henry Musoke Semakula; Song Liang; Paul Isolo Mukwaya; Frank Mugagga
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2023
- Language
- EN
- Field
- Agricultural and Biological Sciences (Life Sciences)
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