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This document summarizes a metapopulation model for epidemic outbreaks on structured populations. The model divides populations into communities and distinguishes between local transmission within communities and inter-community transmission via social bridges. The model predicts that depending on the expected outbreak size within communities and the fraction of social bridges, epidemics will either die out locally or result in a finite probability of a global epidemic. The model also shows that global epid

Author

graviphoton

Language

EN