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<p>In the past fifteen years, inflation has been conquered by many advanced countries. History reveals, however, that it has been conquered before and returned. In <i>The Conquest of American Inflation,</i> Thomas J. Sargent presents a groundbreaking analysis of the rise and fall of U.S. inflation after 1960. He examines two broad explanations for the behavior of inflation and unemployment in this period: the natural-rate hypothesis joined to the Lucas critique and a more traditional econometric policy evaluation modified to include adaptive expectations and learning. His purpose is not only to determine which is the better account, but also to codify for the benefit of the next generation the economic forces that cause inflation.</p> <p>Sargent begins with an explanation of how American policymakers increased inflation in the early 1960s by following erroneous assumptions about the exploitability of the Phillips curve—the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment. In subsequent chapters, he connects a sequence of ideas—self-confirming equilibria, least-squares and other adaptive or recursive learning algorithms, convergence of least-squares learners with self-confirm

Author
Thomas J. Sargent
Publisher
Princeton University Press
Published
2018
Language
EN
ISBN
9780691090122
Subjects
Finance, Economics, Business

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