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Competitive Scoring Rules for Probability Elicitation by iman.gb11 is a document available to read on EtoBox.
What is Competitive Scoring Rules for Probability Elicitation about?
The article discusses a method for eliciting probabilities from forecasters using competitive scoring rules, where payments are contingent on the accuracy of their predictions. It introduces a framework that allows for anonymous, neutral, and truth-inducing payment schemes, applicable in contexts like multiparty betting and surveys. The authors explore the conditions under which forecasters would participate in such competitive schemes and relate their findings to established scoring rules for probability e
- Author
- iman.gb11
- Language
- EN