About this Environmental Science article

Forecasting Water Temperature in Lakes and Reservoirs Using Seasonal Climate Prediction by Daniel Mercado-Bettín; Francois Clayer; Muhammed Shikhani; Tadhg N. Moore; María Dolores Frías; Leah Jackson-Blake; James Sample; Maialen Iturbide; Sixto Herrera; Andrew S. French; Magnus Dahler Norling; Karsten Rinke; Rafael Marcé is a Environmental Science article available to read on EtoBox.

Seasonal climate forecasts produce probabilistic predictions of meteorological variables for subsequent months. This provides a potential resource to predict the influence of seasonal climate anomalies on surface water balance in catchments and hydro-thermodynamics in related water bodies (e.g., lakes or reservoirs). Obtaining seasonal forecasts for impact variables (e.g., discharge and water temperature) requires a link between seasonal climate forecasts and impact models simulating hydrology and lake hydrodynamics and thermal regimes. However, this link remains challenging for stakeholders and the water scientific community, mainly due to the probabilistic nature of these predictions. In this paper, we introduce a feasible, robust, and open-source workflow integrating seasonal climate forecasts with hydrologic and lake models to generate seasonal forecasts of discharge and water temperature profiles. The workflow has been designed to be applicable to any catchment and associated lake or reservoir, and is optimized in this study for four catchment-lake systems to help in their proactive management. We assessed the performance of the resulting seasonal forecasts of discharge and wa

Author

Daniel Mercado-Bettín; Francois Clayer; Muhammed Shikhani; Tadhg N. Moore; María Dolores Frías; Leah Jackson-Blake; James Sample; Maialen Iturbide; Sixto Herrera; Andrew S. French; Magnus Dahler Norling; Karsten Rinke; Rafael Marcé

Publisher

Elsevier BV

Published

2021

Language

EN

Field

Environmental Science (Physical Sciences)