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What is Geopolitical Risk and Oil Market Dynamics about?

This study investigates the relationship between the Geopolitical Risk Index, oil prices, and stock markets of major oil exporters and importers, using data from January 1985 to August 2023. It finds significant positive correlations between stock markets and WTI crude oil prices in oil-exporting countries, while revealing unidirectional causality from stock markets to oil prices in these countries. The findings highlight the predictive role of geopolitical risks on oil prices and provide insights for inves

Author

zahow2012k

Language

EN