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Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic by Nicholas J Savill; Darren J Shaw; Rob Deardon; Michael J Tildesley; Matthew J Keeling; Mark EJ Woolhouse; Stephen P Brooks; Bryan T Grenfell is a Agricultural and Biological Sciences article available to read on EtoBox.
What is Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic about?
## Background A key challenge for modelling infectious disease dynamics is to understand the spatial spread of infection in real landscapes. This ideally requires a parallel record of spatial epidemic spread and a detailed map of susceptible host density along with relevant transport links and geographical features. ## Results Here we analyse the most detailed such data to date arising from the UK 2001 foot and mouth epidemic. We show that Euclidean distance between infectious and susceptible premises is a better predictor of transmission risk than shortest and quickest routes via road, except where major geographical features intervene. ## Conclusion Thus, a simple spatial transmission kernel based on Euclidean distance suffices in most regions, probably reflecting the multiplicity of transmission routes during the epidemic.
Who reads Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic?
It is typically read by researchers, students, and practitioners in Agricultural and Biological Sciences.
- Author
- Nicholas J Savill; Darren J Shaw; Rob Deardon; Michael J Tildesley; Matthew J Keeling; Mark EJ Woolhouse; Stephen P Brooks; Bryan T Grenfell
- Publisher
- BioMed Central; Springer (Biomed Central Ltd.); London: BioMed Central, 2005-; Springer Science and Business Media LLC; Society for Mining, Metallurgy and Exploration Inc. (ISSN 1746-6148)
- Published
- 2006
- Language
- EN
- Field
- Agricultural and Biological Sciences (Life Sciences)