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The document discusses the estimation of the euro area output gap using Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) models, highlighting their advantages over univariate methods and traditional production functions. It explores various economic constraints and compares different output gap estimates, emphasizing the reliability and forecasting capabilities of SVAR models in relation to inflation. The paper concludes that while SVAR models do not consistently outperform other methods, they provide valuable insig

Author

wondimumekonnen2018

Language

EN