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What is Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasting in Iran about?
This document discusses probabilistic precipitation forecasting in Iran using post-processing of ensemble model output. It uses an 8-member ensemble from the WRF and MM5 models with different configurations to generate forecasts. Artificial neural networks and rank histogram calibration are then applied to remove systematic errors and improve reliability. Results show the techniques significantly reduce errors and improve reliability scores compared to the raw ensemble output, especially for precipitation f
- Author
- erpublication
- Language
- EN