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The Uncertain Terms of an Uncertain Peace 9 Is Half a Peace Plan Better than None? 11 Time Pressures and the Afghan Government 13 Multiple Threats to a Real Peace 14 The State of the War Before – and After – the Peace Agreement 16 The Department of Defense Assessment 16 Central Government vs. Taliban Control of the Country 18 Chart One - Part One: The Last Major Unclassified Report on Central Government vs. Taliban Control: Trends 2016-2019 22 Chart One - Part Two: The Last Major Unclassified Report on Central Government vs. Taliban Control: District Control as of October 22, 2018 23 Chart Two: Long War Journal Map of Government vs. Taliban Control of Afghanistan 26 Chart Three: New York Times Map of Government vs. Taliban Control of Afghanistan as of December 2019 27 Enemy Initiated Attacks (EIA): A Nearly Meaningless and Now Classified Metric 28 Chart Four: Enemy-Initiated Attacks, January 2015 through December 2019 32 Chart Five: SIGAR Map of Enemy Initiated Attacks: 2018 versus 2019 33 Chart Six: ACLED vs. Taliban Estimate of Violent Events in Afghanistan 34 Combat with the Taliban Does Continue 35 Civilian Casualties 40 Chart Seven – Part One: LIG and UNAMA Civilian Casualty E

Author
Anthony H Cordesman
Language
ZH

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